Consumers continue to demand more-personalized and sophisticated digital services, and their communications service providers (CSPs) are creating more-innovative data plans in response. The result: a massive increase in LTE Diameter signaling traffic. In the “Oracle Communications LTE Diameter Signaling Index, Fourth Edition,” released today, Oracle forecasts that LTE Diameter signaling traffic will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 68 percent in the next five years, from 30 million messages per second (MPS) in 2014 to 395 million MPS by 2019.
The data in the index can help CSP engineers, network planners, and executives better understand Diameter signaling trends and the potential impact on their networks, enabling them to plan network capacity more effectively in Diameter implementations.
“As CSPs continue implementing LTE networks, they must effectively manage the resulting Diameter signaling traffic in capacity planning. Ignore it, and CSPs risk network outages or overprovisioning,” said Greg Collins, founder and principal analyst, Exact Ventures. “With the massive growth that Oracle is forecasting in its ‘Oracle Communications LTE Diameter Signaling Index, Fourth Edition,’ CSPs should focus on implementing a Diameter signaling infrastructure that is scalable and reliable to cost-effectively control and route signaling traffic.”
The fourth edition of the index evaluates Diameter signaling traffic trends in four application areas and five geographical regions from 2014 through 2019. Highlights include:
The index also identifies trends that will impact the future of Diameter signaling—and the most important one to watch is the migration to the cloud:
“LTE innovation is still in the early stages, but it is gaining momentum,” said Doug Suriano, senior vice president and general manager, Oracle Communications. “And we’re looking beyond today’s LTE—NFV is developing, creating a very attractive cloud-based LTE opportunity. The time for CSPs to plan for Diameter signaling growth is now.”
Oracle helps CSPs create a more scalable and reliable Diameter signaling infrastructure with Oracle Communications Diameter Signaling Router and Oracle Communications Policy Management. With this experience, Oracle experts also contribute to the industry by participating in standards-based working groups such as 3GPP, GSMA, and IETF.
The “Oracle Communications LTE Diameter Signaling Index, Fourth Edition,” calculates LTE Diameter MPS based on assumptions relevant to LTE services such as third-party LTE subscriber forecasts, subscriber behaviors, policy sessions, online and offline charging interactions, and the adoption of voice and video services on LTE.
3GPP and GSM Association standards and documentation are used to establish Diameter traffic profiles. Oracle validates these assumptions in its Diameter Signaling Lab and incorporates this information into the Oracle Communications LTE Diameter Signaling Index Calculator to forecast Diameter signaling traffic growth on LTE and 3G networks.
The index bases LTE Diameter signaling traffic numbers on forecasts of LTE subscribers, LTE penetration rates, LTE device penetration rates, and LTE voice and video services. Data sources include forecasts from Ovum’s World Cellular Information Service and the GSA.